EDU New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares) Services-Educational Services Best Education Stocks 2026 →

EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$52.76
-0.40 (-0.75%) ▼
5d: +1.33% 30d: -10.0% 90d: +0.82%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$52.14 – $59.71
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.3x FAIR
vs 12.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.57
+33.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$47.92 / $55.13
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EDU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.49
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.01
16.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $52.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.14 to $59.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $47.92, while resistance sits at $55.13.

Market Sentiment: EDU scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.57 (+33.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $52.14 - $59.71
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $52.14 - $59.71
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $47.92
Resistance Level $55.13
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($70.57)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 75/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.27
Wall Street Target $70.57 (+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.3%
Profit Margin 8.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.3 vs 12.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $52.07 (-1%)
2-Year Target $51.40 (-3%)
3-Year Target $50.73 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→13) $52.93 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.4%) $156.62 (+197%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 22.4%) $96.74 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 10.4, Growth: 22.4%) $82.23 (+56%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.20
Bull Case $78.59 (+49%)
Analyst growth 34.4%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case $71.45 (+35%)
Market implied 34.4%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case $36.15 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 12.8
Stabilization Target: $55.05 (+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EDU)

Bearish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Mar 23, 2023
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on EDU are bearish (sentiment score -0.03) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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