EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$48.66
0.11 (0.23%)
▲
5d:
+0.29%
30d:
+5.53%
90d:
-14.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EDU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.69
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.52
22.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $48.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.14 to $47.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 60.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.61 (+45.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.61 (+45.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.14 -
$47.85
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.1% below Wall St target ($70.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.14 -
$47.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.66
Resistance Level
$48.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.31
Wall Street Target
$70.61
(+45.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.0%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.81
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$45.03
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$43.32
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$48.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.4%)
$171.76
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 22.4%)
$89.22
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 22.4%)
$75.84
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.68
Bull Case
$85.92
(+77%)
Analyst growth 60.5%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$78.11
(+61%)
Market implied 60.5%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$33.10
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$54.62
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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