EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$58.68
-0.82 (-1.38%)
▼
5d:
-2.77%
30d:
+4.64%
90d:
+19.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EDU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.49
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.01
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $58.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.26 to $59.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDU scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.62 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDU scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.62 (+23.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$55.26 -
$59.06
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.7% below Wall St target ($73.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.26 -
$59.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.18
Resistance Level
$61.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.83
Wall Street Target
$73.62
(+23.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
720.6%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.11
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$62.76
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$64.45
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.63
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 22.4%)
$156.62
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 22.4%)
$109.10
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 22.4%)
$92.74
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$96.43
(+62%)
Analyst growth 43.4%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$87.67
(+47%)
Market implied 43.4%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$41.58
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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