EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$55.82
1.24 (2.27%)
â˛
5d:
-4.12%
30d:
+4.65%
90d:
+23.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EDU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EDU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$100.69
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.52
10.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $55.82, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.42 to $58.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.57 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EDU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.57 (+31.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.42 -
$58.31
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.8% below Wall St target ($73.57)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.42 -
$58.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.50
Resistance Level
$60.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.98
Wall Street Target
$73.57
(+31.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
791.4%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.21
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$56.60
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$57.00
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.78
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 22.4%)
$159.07
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$102.35
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$87.00
(+56%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.95
Bull Case
$87.53
(+57%)
Analyst growth 45.8%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$79.57
(+43%)
Market implied 45.8%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$37.11
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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