EDU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDU - New Oriental Education and Technology Group, Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing ten (10) Common Shares)
$58.89
2.31 (4.08%)
▲
5d:
+19.6%
30d:
+23.46%
90d:
+7.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EDU is 12.1% above its trading range ($52.52). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EDU is 12.1% above its trading range ($52.52). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$99.90
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.03
5.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDU is currently trading at $58.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.56 to $52.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.09 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: EDU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $72.09 (+22.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.56 -
$52.52
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.4% below Wall St target ($72.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.56 -
$52.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.91
Resistance Level
$60.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.69
Wall Street Target
$72.09
(+22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
794.7%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.54
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$62.23
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$63.98
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.87
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 22.4%)
$163.48
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 22.4%)
$107.98
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 22.4%)
$91.78
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.90
Bull Case
$92.30
(+57%)
Analyst growth 48.3%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$83.91
(+43%)
Market implied 48.3%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$38.47
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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