ENSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ENSG - The Ensign Group, Inc.
$177.23
-0.93 (-0.52%)
▼
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
+5.36%
90d:
-3.53%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ENSG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$272.53
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENSG is currently trading at $177.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.60 to $176.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.7) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $166.88, while resistance sits at $186.00.
Market Sentiment: ENSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.00 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $166.88, while resistance sits at $186.00.
Market Sentiment: ENSG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.00 (+24.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$164.60 -
$176.65
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($220.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$164.60 -
$176.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.42
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$166.88
Resistance Level
$186.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.72
Wall Street Target
$220.00
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$165.73
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$160.26
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$177.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$234.24
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.7%)
$234.15
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.7%)
$199.03
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.38
Bull Case
$262.71
(+48%)
Analyst growth 34.1%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$238.83
(+35%)
Market implied 34.1%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$121.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$195.85
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ENSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John O Agwunobi
SELL
392 shares
2026-04-20
Mark Vincent Parkinson
SELL
100 shares
2026-04-16
Barry M Smith
SELL
700 shares
2026-04-02
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$277 | 52 HOLD |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$453 | 47 HOLD |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$141 | 46 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$24 | 47 HOLD |
|
CON
Concentra Group Holdings… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$33 | 61 BUY |
Advanced ENSG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ENSG price and gamma walls.
