ENSG
The Ensign Group, Inc.
SERVICES-SKILLED NURSING CARE FACILITIES
The Ensign Group (ENSG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$186.55
+0.35 (+0.19%)
▲
5d:
+2.28%
30d:
+6.08%
90d:
+2.69%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect ENSG Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (69%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$172.54 – $183.52
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
21.3x
FAIR
vs 22.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$225.80
+21.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$177.83 / $190.00
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ENSG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$272.20
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENSG is currently trading at $186.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.54 to $183.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $190.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ENSG scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.80 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $190.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ENSG scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.80 (+21.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$172.54 -
$183.52
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$172.54 -
$183.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.48
(4.0%)
Support Level
$177.83
Resistance Level
$190.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ENSG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.0% below Wall St target ($225.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.27
Wall Street Target
$225.80
(+21.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 22.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.93
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$181.36
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$178.82
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$186.65
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$247.62
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$231.22
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$196.54
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.76
Bull Case
$265.73
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$241.58
(+30%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$126.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 22.2
Stabilization Target:
$194.71
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ENSG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ensign Group Inc. ($ENSG) reported earnings after market close today, surpassing estimates with an EPS of $2.03 versus expected $1.97.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Report
Beat Estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
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