ENSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ENSG - The Ensign Group, Inc.
$168.39
-0.20 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
+0.94%
30d:
+11.04%
90d:
-15.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$270.87
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$168.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENSG is currently trading at $168.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $153.69 to $167.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $173.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ENSG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.40 (+30.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $173.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ENSG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.40 (+30.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$153.69 -
$167.98
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($220.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$153.69 -
$167.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.74
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$151.21
Resistance Level
$173.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.21
Wall Street Target
$220.40
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 23.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$160.98
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$153.90
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$147.13
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$168.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$242.90
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$225.44
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$191.62
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.14
Bull Case
$251.60
(+49%)
Analyst growth 35.7%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$228.73
(+36%)
Market implied 35.7%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$114.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 23.1
Stabilization Target:
$192.43
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ENSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John O Agwunobi
SELL
392 shares
2026-04-20
Mark Vincent Parkinson
SELL
100 shares
2026-04-16
Barry M Smith
SELL
700 shares
2026-04-02
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Advanced ENSG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ENSG price and gamma walls.
