ENSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ENSG - The Ensign Group, Inc.
$158.89
2.11 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
+5.43%
30d:
-7.45%
90d:
-21.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When ENSG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$274.38
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$170.37
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENSG is currently trading at $158.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.06 to $172.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.1) compared to its historical average (23.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $151.21, while resistance sits at $173.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.40 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $151.21, while resistance sits at $173.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.40 (+38.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$154.06 -
$172.50
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.7% below Wall St target ($220.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$154.06 -
$172.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.80
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$151.21
Resistance Level
$173.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.07
Wall Street Target
$220.40
(+38.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 23.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$148.40
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$138.61
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$129.46
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$158.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$242.90
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 10.2%)
$212.72
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$180.81
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15
Bull Case
$233.59
(+47%)
Analyst growth 35.4%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$212.36
(+34%)
Market implied 35.4%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$106.61
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.1 to 23.4
Stabilization Target:
$194.92
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ENSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John O Agwunobi
SELL
392 shares
2026-04-20
Mark Vincent Parkinson
SELL
100 shares
2026-04-16
Barry M Smith
SELL
700 shares
2026-04-02
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$244 | 57 HOLD |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$504 | 58 HOLD |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$141 | 53 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$22 | 53 HOLD |
|
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporati… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$133 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced ENSG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ENSG price and gamma walls.
