EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$69.83
1.20 (1.75%)
▲
5d:
+3.96%
30d:
+5.47%
90d:
+17.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.25
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $69.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.48 to $68.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 44.5) is in line with its historical norms (41.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$65.48 -
$68.13
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.56)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.48 -
$68.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.76
Resistance Level
$69.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.48
Wall Street Target
$71.56
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.6%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
44.5 vs 41.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$72.65
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$74.10
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.5, Growth: -7.0%)
$56.15
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -7.0%)
$27.49
(-61%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -7.0%)
$23.37
(-67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$47.41
(-32%)
Analyst growth -37.2%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$43.10
(-38%)
Market implied -37.2%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$46.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Catherine Carraway
SELL
656 shares
2026-02-10
Michael L Manelis
SELL
5765 shares
2026-02-10
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