EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$64.73
0.64 (1.00%)
▲
5d:
-3.88%
30d:
-2.34%
90d:
+11.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.25
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $64.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.04 to $67.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.2) is in line with its historical norms (41.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.56 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.56 (+10.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.04 -
$67.26
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.04 -
$67.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.76
Resistance Level
$69.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.23
Wall Street Target
$71.56
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.6%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.2 vs 41.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.41
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$64.08
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$63.76
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→42)
$64.80
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.2, Growth: -7.0%)
$52.04
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -7.0%)
$27.49
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -7.0%)
$23.37
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$44.27
(-32%)
Analyst growth -37.2%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$40.25
(-38%)
Market implied -37.2%, PE stable at 25.6
Bear Case
$43.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.2 to 41.9
Stabilization Target:
$65.78
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Catherine Carraway
SELL
656 shares
2026-02-10
Michael L Manelis
SELL
5765 shares
2026-02-10
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