Equity Residential (EQR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$63.66
-2.31 (-3.50%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.3%
30d:
-7.74%
90d:
-0.34%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Updated Aug 17, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
41.1x
FAIR
vs 42.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$73.05
+14.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$63.26 / $68.51
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EQR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.41
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $63.66, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.1) is in line with its historical norms (42.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: EQR scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.05 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: EQR scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.05 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
38.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
Support Level
$63.26
Resistance Level
$68.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 17, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding EQR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.05)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.09
Wall Street Target
$73.05
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
28.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.1 vs 42.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.09
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$62.52
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$61.96
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41â42)
$63.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.1, Growth: 20.4%)
$110.98
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.4%)
$54.31
(-15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.4%)
$46.17
(-28%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.1 to 42.2
Stabilization Target:
$65.38
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EQR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Equity Residential ($EQR) experienced significant institutional buying with over $62.9M in premium absorption near $65.97 according to StockTwits messages.
Key Retail Themes:
Institutional buying
Price action
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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