Equity Residential (EQR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EQR - Equity Residential

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$63.66
-2.31 (-3.50%) â–ŧ
5d: -3.3%
30d: -7.74%
90d: -0.34%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: EQR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.41
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.48
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $63.66, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.1) is in line with its historical norms (42.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: EQR scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.05 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 38.1%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.05)
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $63.26
Resistance Level $68.51
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.09
Wall Street Target $73.05 (+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%
Profit Margin 28.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 41.1 vs 42.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.09 (-1%)
2-Year Target $62.52 (-2%)
3-Year Target $61.96 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41→42) $63.63 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 41.1, Growth: 20.4%) $110.98 (+74%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.4%) $54.31 (-15%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.4%) $46.17 (-28%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.1 to 42.2
Stabilization Target: $65.38 (+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.7%
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Last updated: October 01, 2026 6:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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