EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$66.45
-0.67 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
-2.08%
30d:
-3.18%
90d:
+1.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.85
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $66.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.92 to $69.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.4) is in line with its historical norms (42.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.92 -
$69.43
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.05)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 2.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.92 -
$69.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.29
Resistance Level
$69.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.41
Wall Street Target
$73.05
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
28.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
42.4 vs 42.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.58
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$66.72
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$66.85
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.4, Growth: 19.5%)
$113.33
(+71%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 19.5%)
$55.39
(-17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 19.5%)
$47.08
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 30.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case
$51.87
(-22%)
Analyst growth -29.7%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$47.16
(-29%)
Market implied -29.7%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$45.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Catherine Carraway
SELL
656 shares
2026-02-10
Michael L Manelis
SELL
5765 shares
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EQR price and gamma walls.
