EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$68.69
0.60 (0.88%)
▲
5d:
-1.63%
30d:
+1.22%
90d:
+13.61%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EQR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.25
Based on -1.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $68.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.77 to $68.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 43.8) is in line with its historical norms (42.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $69.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$65.77 -
$68.84
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.77 -
$68.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.76
Resistance Level
$69.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.75
Wall Street Target
$71.67
(+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.6%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
43.8 vs 42.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.65
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$70.63
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$71.62
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.75
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.8, Growth: -7.0%)
$55.23
(+-20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -7.0%)
$27.49
(-60%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -7.0%)
$23.37
(-66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case
$47.04
(-32%)
Analyst growth -37.2%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$42.76
(-38%)
Market implied -37.2%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$46.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Catherine Carraway
SELL
656 shares
2026-02-10
Michael L Manelis
SELL
5765 shares
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EQR price and gamma walls.
