EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EQR - Equity Residential

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$63.66
-2.31 (-3.50%) ▼
5d: -3.3%
30d: -7.74%
90d: -0.34%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EQR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.41
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.48
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $63.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.98 to $68.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.1) is in line with its historical norms (42.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.05 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $65.98 - $68.98
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($73.05)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $65.98 - $68.98
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $63.26
Resistance Level $68.51
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.09
Wall Street Target $73.05 (+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%
Profit Margin 28.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 41.1 vs 42.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.09 (-1%)
2-Year Target $62.52 (-2%)
3-Year Target $61.96 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41→42) $63.63 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 41.1, Growth: 20.4%) $110.98 (+74%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.4%) $54.31 (-15%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.4%) $46.17 (-28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.30
Bull Case $48.88 (-23%)
Analyst growth -32.6%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case $44.44 (-30%)
Market implied -32.6%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case $44.86 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.1 to 42.2
Stabilization Target: $65.38 (+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.7%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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