ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
$20.28
-0.08 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
+1.86%
30d:
+4.91%
90d:
+1.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.63
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $20.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.41 to $20.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.90 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.90 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.41 -
$20.35
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.90)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.4% growth with 32.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.41 -
$20.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.86
Resistance Level
$20.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.91
Wall Street Target
$23.90
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.97
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$21.68
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$22.42
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.3%)
$39.15
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$24.37
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$20.72
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$29.15
(+43%)
Analyst growth 30.9%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$26.50
(+30%)
Market implied 30.9%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$13.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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