ET Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ET - Energy Transfer LP Common Units representing limited partner interests
$20.06
-0.12 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
+1.26%
30d:
+6.93%
90d:
+6.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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7 traders called ET this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ET shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.42
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ET is currently trading at $20.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.85 to $19.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.64 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ET is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ET has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.64 (+17.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.85 -
$19.65
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.64)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 32.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.85 -
$19.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.01
Resistance Level
$19.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.52
Wall Street Target
$23.64
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.72
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$21.28
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$21.86
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.25
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$42.95
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 7.0%)
$24.70
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$21.00
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$29.04
(+44%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$26.40
(+31%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$13.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ET showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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