VNOM Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Best Oil & Gas Stocks 2026 →

Viper Energy (VNOM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$40.88
-0.25 (-0.61%) ▼
5d: +2.97% 30d: -7.36% 90d: -3.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$41.25 – $46.17
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.2x CHEAP
vs 20.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.45
+34.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$39.46 / $47.75
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: VNOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $40.89 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.08
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.44
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $40.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.25 to $46.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.46, while resistance sits at $47.75.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.45 (+34.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $41.25 - $46.17
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $41.25 - $46.17
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $39.46
Resistance Level $47.75
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 34.8% below Wall St target ($55.45)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.16
Wall Street Target $55.45 (+34.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 160.7%
Profit Margin 12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 20.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.14 (-10%)
2-Year Target $33.54 (-19%)
3-Year Target $30.28 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→21) $41.16 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.1%) $49.11 (+19%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: -3.1%) $37.48 (-9%)
Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: -3.1%) $31.86 (-23%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.26
Bull Case $88.42 (+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case $80.38 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case $27.33 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 20.6
Stabilization Target: $55.90 (+35.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (VNOM)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Viper Energy (VNOM) reported a strong Q3 with revenue, earnings, and production growth, leading to increased dividends. The stock has seen mixed trading performance recently.
Key Retail Themes: Operational progress and future growth potential Reassessment of stock valuation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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