VNOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$43.21
1.18 (2.81%) ▲
5d: +6.74%
30d: -3.51%
90d: -4.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026 20d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VNOM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.42
Based on -1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.93
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $43.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.79 to $44.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VNOM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.33 (+32.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $41.79 - $44.75
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 32.7% below Wall St target ($57.33)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.79 - $44.75
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $44.68
Resistance Level $47.08
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.70
Wall Street Target $57.33 (+32.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 109.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -14.5%
Profit Margin -2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.7 vs 22.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.97 (-8%)
2-Year Target $36.97 (-14%)
3-Year Target $34.20 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→22) $43.27 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -6.3%) $43.79 (+1%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: -6.3%) $35.60 (-18%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: -6.3%) $30.26 (-30%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 22.4
Stabilization Target: $54.67 (+26.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.5%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
August Pfluger BUY 2026-03-13

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