Viper Energy (VNOM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$45.35
-0.33 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
+3.7%
30d:
+10.8%
90d:
+0.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: VNOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.71
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $45.35, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.80 to $44.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.2) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNOM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.48 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $46.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: VNOM scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.48 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.80 -
$44.65
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($55.48)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.80 -
$44.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.48
Resistance Level
$46.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.17
Wall Street Target
$55.48
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
115.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
160.7%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 20.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.54
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$39.90
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$37.43
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$45.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.3%)
$50.44
(+11%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: -1.3%)
$43.60
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: -1.3%)
$37.06
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 13.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.30
Bull Case
$54.76
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$45.35
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$34.69
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.2 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$54.95
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 6:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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