Viper Energy (VNOM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VNOM - Viper Energy, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$40.64
-0.05 (-0.12%) ▼
5d: -0.71%
30d: -9.93%
90d: +0.4%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VNOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.77
Based on 0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.39
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VNOM is currently trading at $40.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.29 to $45.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (21.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 160.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VNOM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $39.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: VNOM scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.95 (+35.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $41.29 - $45.12
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.2% below Wall St target ($54.95)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.29 - $45.12
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $39.77
Resistance Level $42.24
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.12
Wall Street Target $54.95 (+35.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 115.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 160.7%
Profit Margin 3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 16.1 vs 21.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.14 (-9%)
2-Year Target $33.95 (-17%)
3-Year Target $31.03 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→21) $40.62 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -3.5%) $46.29 (+14%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: -3.5%) $36.58 (-10%)
Bear: (PE: 13.7, Growth: -3.5%) $31.09 (-24%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 21.1
Stabilization Target: $53.20 (+30.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +30.9%
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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