EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$9.13
-0.27 (-2.87%)
▼
5d:
-0.76%
30d:
-5.88%
90d:
-9.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.86
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.23
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $9.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.31 to $11.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.81, while resistance sits at $11.57.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+22.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.81, while resistance sits at $11.57.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+22.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.31 -
$11.01
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($11.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.31 -
$11.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.81
Resistance Level
$11.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$11.21
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.45
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.81
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$7.23
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$9.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$20.32
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 6.4%)
$11.00
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 6.4%)
$9.35
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.83 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.66
Bull Case
$11.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$9.13
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$6.98
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.54
(+26.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 7:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5503 shares
2026-04-23
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5443 shares
2026-04-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
8254 shares
2026-04-21
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