EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$9.64
-0.04 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-5.4%
30d:
-12.84%
90d:
-7.75%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.33
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $9.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.20 to $11.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EVCM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.39. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EVCM scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.20 -
$11.96
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.20 -
$11.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.39
Resistance Level
$11.13
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.21
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.08
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.55
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$8.06
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$9.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 4.9%)
$18.28
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$11.12
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 4.9%)
$9.45
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.71
Bull Case
$11.64
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$9.64
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$7.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$11.53
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5503 shares
2026-04-23
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5443 shares
2026-04-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
8254 shares
2026-04-21
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