EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$8.71
-0.24 (-2.68%)
▼
5d:
-4.6%
30d:
-15.85%
90d:
-15.85%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.76
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.17
5.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $8.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.99 to $10.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+28.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+28.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.99 -
$10.58
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($11.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.99 -
$10.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.81
Resistance Level
$11.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.33
Wall Street Target
$11.21
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.95
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$7.26
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$6.63
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$8.72
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.4%)
$20.19
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 6.4%)
$10.50
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 6.4%)
$8.92
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.16 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.66
Bull Case
$10.52
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.8
Base Case
$8.71
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$6.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.46
(+31.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5503 shares
2026-04-23
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5443 shares
2026-04-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
8254 shares
2026-04-21
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