EverCommerce (EVCM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.04
-1.08 (-13.30%)
▼
5d:
-15.69%
30d:
-24.22%
90d:
-29.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.45 – $9.57
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.3x
CHEAP
vs 13.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.25
+17.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.01 / $9.59
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVCM is down 15.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.39
Based on 0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $7.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.45 to $9.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.01, while resistance sits at $9.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.25 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.01, while resistance sits at $9.59. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 13.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.25 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.45 -
$9.57
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$8.45 -
$9.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$6.01
Resistance Level
$9.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-13.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.27
Wall Street Target
$8.25
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.1%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.39
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$5.80
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$5.27
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$7.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.9%)
$12.08
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: -3.9%)
$6.25
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: -3.9%)
$5.31
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 10.63 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.66
Bull Case
$8.50
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.2
Base Case
$7.04
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$5.39
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$9.39
(+33.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (EVCM)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $EVCM with one user predicting a price drop to $5.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 9:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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