EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$10.17
-0.03 (-0.29%)
▼
5d:
+1.9%
30d:
+13.0%
90d:
-10.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EVCM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.56
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $10.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.86 to $9.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.81, while resistance sits at $11.57.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.81, while resistance sits at $11.57.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.21 (+10.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.86 -
$9.99
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.21)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.86 -
$9.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.81
Resistance Level
$11.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.22
Wall Street Target
$11.21
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 14.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.82
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.49
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.17
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$10.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.4%)
$20.19
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$12.26
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 6.4%)
$10.42
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.69
Bull Case
$12.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$10.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$7.78
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.30
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5503 shares
2026-04-23
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5443 shares
2026-04-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
8254 shares
2026-04-21
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