EVCM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$12.34
0.20 (1.65%)
▲
5d:
+6.75%
30d:
+15.87%
90d:
+6.84%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EVCM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EVCM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.56
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $12.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.80 to $11.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EVCM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.80 -
$11.88
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($11.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.80 -
$11.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.89
Resistance Level
$12.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.05
Wall Street Target
$11.21
(-9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.71
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$13.09
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$13.48
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.4%)
$19.21
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 6.4%)
$14.87
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 6.4%)
$12.64
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.37 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.75
Bull Case
$14.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$12.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$9.44
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5503 shares
2026-04-23
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5443 shares
2026-04-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
8254 shares
2026-04-21
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