EverCommerce (EVCM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVCM - EverCommerce Inc. Common Stock
$6.31
-0.22 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-20.43%
30d:
-36.71%
90d:
-32.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVCM is down 20.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVCM is down 20.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.13
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.78
28.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVCM is currently trading at $6.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.84 to $10.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EVCM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+68.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVCM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: EVCM scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+68.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.84 -
$10.84
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.5% below Wall St target ($11.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.84 -
$10.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.21
Resistance Level
$9.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.27
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+68.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.88
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.29
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.76
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→14)
$8.29
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.9%)
$18.37
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 4.9%)
$7.53
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 4.9%)
$6.40
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.14
Bull Case
$14.87
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.1
Base Case
$13.52
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.3
Bear Case
$4.60
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.37
(+74.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 4:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVCM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5503 shares
2026-04-23
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
5443 shares
2026-04-22
Eric Richard Remer
SELL
8254 shares
2026-04-21
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