EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.
$5.19
0.30 (6.13%)
▲
5d:
+8.35%
30d:
-16.29%
90d:
-24.45%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXOD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -27.9% annual earnings decline despite 1924% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EXOD appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -27.9% annual earnings decline despite 1924% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.28
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.97
56.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $5.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.03 to $6.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.7) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 27.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+237.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+237.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.03 -
$6.27
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 237.2% below Wall St target ($17.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.03 -
$6.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.74
Resistance Level
$7.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.73
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(+237.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1923.7%
Profit Margin
-28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-27.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.7 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-27.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→10)
$10.03
(+93%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.7 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$13.76
(+165.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+165.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 7:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret Knight
SELL
135 shares
2026-04-01
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