EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.

FINANCE SERVICES
$6.17
0.04 (0.65%) ▲
5d: -6.52%
30d: -17.18%
90d: -24.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.64
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.82
51.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $6.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.20 to $7.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $5.74, while resistance sits at $7.32.

Market Sentiment: EXOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+183.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $6.20 - $7.12
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 183.6% below Wall St target ($17.50)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.5%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.20 - $7.12
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.74
Resistance Level $7.32
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.44
Wall Street Target $17.50 (+183.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1923.7%
Profit Margin -28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -25.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.4 vs 10.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -25.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.55 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.00 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.50 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→11) $10.74 (+74%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 10.6
Stabilization Target: $14.73 (+138.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +138.8%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret Knight SELL 135 shares 2026-04-01

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