EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.
$5.49
0.16 (3.00%)
▲
5d:
+2.23%
30d:
+8.5%
90d:
-27.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EXOD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.25
51.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $5.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.97 to $5.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXOD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.40 (+144.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXOD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.40 (+144.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.97 -
$5.42
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 144.1% below Wall St target ($13.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.97 -
$5.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.95
Resistance Level
$5.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.95
Wall Street Target
$13.40
(+144.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1923.7%
Profit Margin
-28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.94
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.45
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.00
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→9)
$9.42
(+72%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$12.93
(+135.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+135.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret Knight
SELL
135 shares
2026-04-01
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