EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.
$6.68
-0.43 (-6.05%)
▼
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-15.66%
90d:
-45.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EXOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.82
64.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $6.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.80 to $7.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.37, while resistance sits at $7.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+162.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.37, while resistance sits at $7.78. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: EXOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+162.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.80 -
$7.85
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 162.0% below Wall St target ($17.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.80 -
$7.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.37
Resistance Level
$7.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.81
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(+162.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1923.7%
Profit Margin
-28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→11)
$11.35
(+70%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 115.5%)
$102.79
(+1439%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 115.5%)
$22.54
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 115.5%)
$19.16
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.57
(+133.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+133.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret Knight
SELL
135 shares
2026-04-01
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