FDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FDS - Factset Research Systems

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$299.91
-0.15 (-0.05%) ▼
5d: +5.79%
30d: +22.93%
90d: +33.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 17, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FDS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$357.42
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$221.93
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FDS is currently trading at $299.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $256.62 to $288.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FDS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $304.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FDS scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $255.06. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $256.62 - $288.69
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 8th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 37.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 15.0% above Wall St target ($255.06)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.9% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $256.62 - $288.69
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$20.24 (6.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $274.33
Resistance Level $304.30
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.22
Wall Street Target $255.06 (-15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -9.6%
Profit Margin 23.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.9% premium
PE vs Historical 15.2 vs 12.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $317.60 (+6%)
2-Year Target $336.34 (+12%)
3-Year Target $356.19 (+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $299.49 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.5%) $533.76 (+78%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 10.5%) $404.86 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.5%) $340.41 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.27
Bull Case $425.84 (+42%)
Analyst growth 29.0%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case $387.13 (+29%)
Market implied 29.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case $204.04 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shelley Moore Capito SELL 2026-03-31
Shelley Moore Capito SELL 2026-03-26
Shelley Moore Capito SELL 2026-03-25

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