Moody's (MCO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCO - Moody's Corporation
$491.05
10.00 (2.08%)
▲
5d:
+1.52%
30d:
+3.63%
90d:
+4.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MCO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$673.28
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$418.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCO is currently trading at $491.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $453.77 to $476.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $494.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MCO scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $551.29 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $494.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MCO scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $551.29 (+12.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$453.77 -
$476.36
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($551.29)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$453.77 -
$476.36
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$455.65
Resistance Level
$494.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.20
Wall Street Target
$551.29
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.7%
Profit Margin
34.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 26.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$492.03
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$493.02
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$494.00
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$492.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$672.64
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$509.83
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$433.36
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.76
Bull Case
$629.25
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 33.6
Base Case
$572.04
(+17%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 30.5
Bear Case
$327.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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