Nasdaq (NDAQ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NDAQ - Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock
$90.33
-1.34 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-3.44%
30d:
-5.63%
90d:
+6.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NDAQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NDAQ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.40
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.53
1.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NDAQ is currently trading at $90.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.30 to $97.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.67 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NDAQ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.67 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$91.30 -
$97.74
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NDAQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($109.67)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.30 -
$97.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.67
Resistance Level
$96.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.30
Wall Street Target
$109.67
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
35.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.98
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$85.69
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$83.47
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$90.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$138.34
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 13.2%)
$130.90
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$111.27
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$137.57
(+52%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$125.06
(+38%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$62.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$97.80
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NDAQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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