S&P Global (SPGI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPGI - S&P Global Inc.
$456.19
13.03 (2.94%)
▲
5d:
+7.39%
30d:
+12.22%
90d:
+6.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SPGI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$635.59
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$394.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPGI is currently trading at $456.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $392.71 to $425.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $446.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPGI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $514.05 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPGI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $446.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SPGI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $514.05 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$392.71 -
$425.78
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Protect Your Profits
SPGI is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($514.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$392.71 -
$425.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$393.88
Resistance Level
$446.87
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.97
Wall Street Target
$514.05
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Profit Margin
30.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$448.92
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$454.76
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$460.67
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$442.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.8%)
$635.89
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$574.70
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$488.50
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.43
Bull Case
$591.55
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.7%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$537.77
(+21%)
Market implied 22.7%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$297.92
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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