FDUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDUS - Fidus Investment Corp.
$19.70
-0.11 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
+0.56%
30d:
+1.39%
90d:
+5.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.68
Based on -1.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDUS is currently trading at $19.70, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.57 to $20.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDUS scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.34. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FDUS scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.57 -
$20.26
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 8.8% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.57 -
$20.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.34
Resistance Level
$20.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.98
Wall Street Target
$21.50
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.9%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.84
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.98
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.12
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.75
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -7.4%)
$31.45
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: -7.4%)
$15.64
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: -7.4%)
$13.29
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$20.78
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$18.89
(-4%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$13.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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