FDUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDUS - Fidus Investment Corp.
$20.11
-0.10 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
-1.47%
30d:
+7.31%
90d:
+12.28%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FDUS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.08
Based on -2.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDUS is currently trading at $20.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.24 to $19.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $19.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FDUS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $19.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FDUS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.24 -
$19.57
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 30.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.24 -
$19.57
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.25
Resistance Level
$19.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.30
Wall Street Target
$21.50
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Profit Margin
49.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$20.92
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$21.34
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.10
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -7.9%)
$33.22
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: -7.9%)
$15.71
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: -7.9%)
$13.35
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.26
Bull Case
$19.21
(-5%)
Analyst growth -13.6%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$17.46
(-13%)
Market implied -13.6%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$13.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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