Fidus Investment (FDUS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDUS - Fidus Investment Corp.
$19.57
0.08 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
-0.05%
30d:
-0.76%
90d:
+4.54%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FDUS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FDUS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.68
Based on -1.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDUS is currently trading at $19.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.50 to $20.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDUS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.50 -
$20.05
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 8.8% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.50 -
$20.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.45
Resistance Level
$19.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.91
Wall Street Target
$21.50
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.9%
Profit Margin
45.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.65
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.73
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$19.81
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -7.4%)
$31.60
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -7.4%)
$15.53
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -7.4%)
$13.20
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$20.54
(+5%)
Analyst growth -4.2%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$18.68
(-5%)
Market implied -4.2%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$13.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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