FND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FND - Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
$49.56
-1.00 (-1.98%)
▼
5d:
-0.26%
30d:
+2.78%
90d:
-22.72%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Get Alerted When FND Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FND trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FND trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.22
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.68
4.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FND is currently trading at $49.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.36 to $50.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (26.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.64, while resistance sits at $52.56.
Market Sentiment: FND has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.64, while resistance sits at $52.56.
Market Sentiment: FND has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$46.36 -
$50.85
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.36 -
$50.85
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.64
Resistance Level
$52.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.85
Wall Street Target
$53.91
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 26.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.13
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$44.82
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$42.63
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→27)
$49.63
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$73.44
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$70.43
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$59.86
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$65.53
(+27%)
Analyst growth 17.9%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case
$59.57
(+16%)
Market implied 17.9%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case
$34.36
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.8 to 26.6
Stabilization Target:
$57.70
(+16.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Home Improvement Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Home Improvement Retail by analyst ratings.
