FND Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FND - Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
$59.06
-0.30 (-0.51%)
▼
5d:
+3.72%
30d:
+16.67%
90d:
+16.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FND shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FND shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$83.22
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FND is currently trading at $59.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.54 to $56.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FND has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FND has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.54 -
$56.32
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($53.91)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -0.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.54 -
$56.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.86
Resistance Level
$52.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.23
Wall Street Target
$53.91
(-8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.2%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 26.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$60.49
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$61.21
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.13
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$87.51
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$70.01
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.0%)
$59.51
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.84
Bull Case
$76.15
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.9%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case
$69.23
(+17%)
Market implied 17.9%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case
$39.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 01, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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