LOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc.
$207.65
1.01 (0.49%)
▲
5d:
-4.24%
30d:
-7.18%
90d:
-19.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LOW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LOW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$313.29
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $207.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $213.15 to $232.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+27.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+27.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$213.15 -
$232.55
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($263.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$213.15 -
$232.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.40
Resistance Level
$221.54
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.05
Wall Street Target
$263.73
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$195.61
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$184.26
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$173.57
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$207.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$333.27
(+61%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$244.11
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 5.5%)
$207.49
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.84
Bull Case
$260.66
(+20%)
Analyst growth 9.3%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$236.97
(+9%)
Market implied 9.3%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$147.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$248.43
(+19.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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