LOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc.
$213.54
-0.86 (-0.40%)
▼
5d:
-3.02%
30d:
-1.78%
90d:
-8.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$310.02
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$192.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $213.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $210.63 to $220.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $203.40, while resistance sits at $220.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $203.40, while resistance sits at $220.34.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $263.73 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$210.63 -
$220.50
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($263.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$210.63 -
$220.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.40
Resistance Level
$220.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.50
Wall Street Target
$263.73
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$203.93
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$194.75
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$185.99
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$214.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.5%)
$331.29
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 5.5%)
$251.03
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$213.38
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.83
Bull Case
$257.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.4%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$234.50
(+10%)
Market implied 9.4%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$145.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$245.84
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-10
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