LOW Lowe's Companies Inc. RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS

Lowe's Companies (LOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$231.60
-0.27 (-0.12%) ▼
5d: +0.97% 30d: +22.71% 90d: +6.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$186.78 – $219.56
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.9x FAIR
vs 17.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$252.64
+9.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$200.68 / $234.75
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 29, 2026 at $207.28 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.81
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.33
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $231.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.78 to $219.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LOW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $186.78 - $219.56
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 20.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $186.78 - $219.56
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $200.68
Resistance Level $234.75
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Protect Your Profits

LOW is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.5% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($252.64)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.90
Wall Street Target $252.64 (+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.3%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 17.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $232.29 (+0%)
2-Year Target $232.99 (+1%)
3-Year Target $233.69 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) PE COMPRESSION $231.09 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.5%) $302.08 (+30%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 5.5%) $272.26 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: 5.5%) $231.42 (0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.83
Bull Case $278.97 (+21%)
Analyst growth 9.4%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case $253.61 (+10%)
Market implied 9.4%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case $157.67 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LOW)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment on $LOW prevails on StockTwits with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish setup Strong financials
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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