Lowe's Companies (LOW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOW - Lowe's Companies Inc.
$180.80
-1.58 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
-4.48%
30d:
-9.53%
90d:
-19.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LOW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$295.34
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$183.38
1.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOW is currently trading at $180.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.00 to $205.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (18.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOW scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.09 (+38.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $179.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LOW scores 16/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $251.09 (+38.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$188.00 -
$205.97
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (16/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.9% below Wall St target ($251.09)
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.00 -
$205.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.21
Resistance Level
$196.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.97
Wall Street Target
$251.09
(+38.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 18.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$165.97
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$152.36
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$139.87
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$181.18
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.5%)
$310.30
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 5.5%)
$212.55
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 5.5%)
$180.66
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.71
Bull Case
$221.67
(+23%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$201.52
(+12%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$124.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 18.1
Stabilization Target:
$234.19
(+29.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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