Floor & Decor (FND) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FND - Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
$48.17
3.06 (6.78%)
▲
5d:
+5.27%
30d:
+1.65%
90d:
-10.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
Get Alerted When FND Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FND shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FND shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.10
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.87
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FND is currently trading at $48.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.05 to $47.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.1) compared to its historical average (25.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 53.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: FND scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.14 (+18.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: FND scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.14 (+18.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.05 -
$47.45
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.05 -
$47.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.85
Resistance Level
$48.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.14
Wall Street Target
$57.14
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
53.4%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 25.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.05
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$44.02
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$42.09
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$48.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$65.00
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$58.31
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.5%)
$49.56
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$50.45
(+5%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case
$45.87
(-5%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$30.67
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 25.4
Stabilization Target:
$55.27
(+14.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Home Improvement Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Home Improvement Retail by analyst ratings.
