FND
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS
Floor & Decor (FND) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$51.06
-0.38 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
-4.4%
30d:
+14.18%
90d:
-13.31%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$45.03 – $50.45
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.1x
FAIR
vs 25.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$50.09
-1.9% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$46.02 / $54.93
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FND shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.88
Based on 1.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FND is currently trading at $51.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.03 to $50.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.02, while resistance sits at $54.93.
Market Sentiment: FND scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FND is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.02, while resistance sits at $54.93.
Market Sentiment: FND scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$45.03 -
$50.45
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.03 -
$50.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$46.02
Resistance Level
$54.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.14
Wall Street Target
$50.09
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.9%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 25.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$53.44
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$54.66
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$50.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: -1.6%)
$48.72
(+-5%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$35.65
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -1.6%)
$30.30
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$47.95
(-6%)
Analyst growth -15.3%, PE expands to 25.5
Base Case
$43.59
(-15%)
Market implied -15.3%, PE stable at 23.2
Bear Case
$34.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FND)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $FND ahead of earnings report, citing a strong earnings history with six out of eight reports beating EPS estimates.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings report
strong earnings history
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FND showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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