HD
Home Depot, Inc.
RETAIL-LUMBER & OTHER BUILDING MATERIALS DEALERS
Home Depot (HD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$351.31
+0.31 (+0.09%)
▲
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
+19.53%
90d:
+2.81%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
4d
Protect HD Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$295.83 – $341.13
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.3x
FAIR
vs 22.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$378.81
+7.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$322.68 / $362.44
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 7, 2026 at $285.23 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$406.42
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$252.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HD is currently trading at $351.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.83 to $341.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $322.68, while resistance sits at $362.44.
Market Sentiment: HD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $322.68, while resistance sits at $362.44.
Market Sentiment: HD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$295.83 -
$341.13
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$295.83 -
$341.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$322.68
Resistance Level
$362.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($378.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.34
Wall Street Target
$378.81
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
8.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$356.58
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$361.93
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$367.36
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$350.99
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 3.8%)
$392.90
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.8%)
$334.32
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 3.8%)
$284.17
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.29
Bull Case
$406.69
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.3%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$369.72
(+5%)
Market implied 5.3%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$238.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment towards $HD, despite economic uncertainties and housing market challenges, referencing the company's strong cash generation and position within the industry. The latest Yahoo Finance article discusses Home Depot's focus on expanding its professional contractor business and its ability to generate significant free cash flow, but also highlights the impact of elevated borrowing costs and sluggish housing activity on the company's net income.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's financial strength
Housing market challenges
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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