FNWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FNWB - First Northwest Bancorp Common Stock
$11.05
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.9%
30d:
+5.44%
90d:
+11.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FNWB trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: FNWB trades at premium valuation expecting 7.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FNWB is currently trading at $11.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.24 to $10.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $10.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FNWB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $10.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FNWB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+19.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.24 -
$10.99
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.8% growth expectation is conservative given 325% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.24 -
$10.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.50
Resistance Level
$10.71
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.73
Wall Street Target
$13.25
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
325.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 11.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.91
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$12.84
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$13.84
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.09
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 275.0%)
$55.13
(+399%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 275.0%)
$37.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 275.0%)
$29.87
(+170%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$16.57
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$15.07
(+36%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$7.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FNWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Curt Queyrouze
BUY
4770 shares
2026-02-06
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