FNWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FNWB - First Northwest Bancorp Common Stock
$10.16
0.13 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
-4.69%
30d:
+3.99%
90d:
+19.39%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FNWB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FNWB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.43
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FNWB is currently trading at $10.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.70 to $10.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.50, while resistance sits at $10.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+30.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $9.50, while resistance sits at $10.71.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+30.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.70 -
$10.43
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($13.25)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.5% growth expectation is conservative given 325% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.70 -
$10.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.50
Resistance Level
$10.71
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.55
Wall Street Target
$13.25
(+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
325.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 11.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.72
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$11.31
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$11.93
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 275.0%)
$55.13
(+443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 275.0%)
$34.29
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 275.0%)
$29.11
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.55
Bull Case
$15.16
(+49%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$13.79
(+36%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$6.87
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FNWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Curt Queyrouze
BUY
4770 shares
2026-02-06
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