First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FNWB - First Northwest Bancorp Common Stock
$10.45
-0.23 (-2.11%)
▼
5d:
-5.77%
30d:
-7.36%
90d:
-1.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FNWB trades at premium valuation expecting 15.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: FNWB trades at premium valuation expecting 15.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FNWB is currently trading at $10.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.86 to $11.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+43.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+43.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.86 -
$11.32
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.7% growth with None% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.86 -
$11.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.45
Resistance Level
$11.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.90
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+43.5%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.8%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.7% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 13.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.09
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$13.99
(+34%)
3-Year Target
$16.19
(+55%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 525.0%)
$35.27
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 525.0%)
$34.04
(+226%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 525.0%)
$22.78
(+118%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (63x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 62.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.17
Bull Case
$23.48
(+125%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 69.1
Base Case
$21.35
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 62.8
Bear Case
$7.26
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 53.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 11:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FNWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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