First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FNWB - First Northwest Bancorp Common Stock
$9.95
-0.05 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
-1.0%
30d:
-10.2%
90d:
-11.16%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FNWB trades at premium valuation expecting 12.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: FNWB trades at premium valuation expecting 12.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FNWB is currently trading at $9.95, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.02 to $10.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (14.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FNWB scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FNWB scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+50.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.02 -
$10.99
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.8% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.5% growth with None% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 24% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.02 -
$10.99
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.81
Resistance Level
$10.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.90
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+50.8%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.8%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 14.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.19
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$12.59
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$14.17
(+42%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 525.0%)
$34.42
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 525.0%)
$33.58
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 525.0%)
$23.62
(+137%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 58.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.17
Bull Case
$22.00
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 64.7
Base Case
$20.00
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 58.8
Bear Case
$6.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FNWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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