FNWB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FNWB - First Northwest Bancorp Common Stock
$11.46
-0.35 (-2.96%)
▼
5d:
-4.1%
30d:
+0.97%
90d:
+14.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FNWB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FNWB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.17
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FNWB is currently trading at $11.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.85 to $11.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.25 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.85 -
$11.99
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.85 -
$11.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.35
Resistance Level
$12.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.73
Wall Street Target
$13.25
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
325.0%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.64
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.83
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$12.02
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 350.0%)
$62.97
(+450%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 350.0%)
$38.68
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 350.0%)
$32.88
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (69x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 69.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.17
Bull Case
$25.98
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 76.4
Base Case
$23.62
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 69.5
Bear Case
$8.03
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 59.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FNWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Curt Queyrouze
BUY
4770 shares
2026-02-06
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