First Northwest Bancorp (FNWB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FNWB - First Northwest Bancorp Common Stock
$9.65
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+1.37%
30d:
-3.98%
90d:
-18.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FNWB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FNWB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FNWB is currently trading at $9.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.65 to $10.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (14.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FNWB scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+55.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FNWB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FNWB scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+55.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.65 -
$10.13
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
93.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 55.4% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.5% growth with None% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.65 -
$10.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.46
Resistance Level
$10.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.30
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+55.4%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.8%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 14.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.66
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$11.78
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$13.02
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 525.0%)
$33.51
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 525.0%)
$32.57
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 525.0%)
$24.13
(+150%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 56.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.17
Bull Case
$20.99
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 61.7
Base Case
$19.08
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 56.1
Bear Case
$6.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FNWB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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