FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$78.71
-1.18 (-1.48%)
▼
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
+10.18%
90d:
+84.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FROG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FROG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.60
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $78.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.30 to $84.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 70.2) compared to its historical average (56.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.34, while resistance sits at $89.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.34, while resistance sits at $89.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$72.30 -
$84.29
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($83.15)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.30 -
$84.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.34
Resistance Level
$89.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
70.19
Wall Street Target
$83.15
(+5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.8%
Profit Margin
-10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
70.2 vs 56.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.69
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$91.13
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$98.05
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→56)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 70.2, Growth: 17.6%)
$127.92
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.6%)
$39.69
(-50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.6%)
$33.74
(-57%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-07
Frederic Simon
SELL
25000 shares
2026-04-02
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