FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$92.13
2.41 (2.69%) ▲
5d: -4.2%
30d: +13.39%
90d: +28.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: FROG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.5% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.74
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.02
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $92.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.69 to $92.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 80.5) compared to its historical average (61.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.30, while resistance sits at $98.47.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $111.71 (+21.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $80.69 - $92.20
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 64.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($111.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.5% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $80.69 - $92.20
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.30
Resistance Level $98.47
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 80.48
Wall Street Target $111.71 (+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.7%
Profit Margin -7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.5% premium
PE vs Historical 80.5 vs 61.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $100.88 (+10%)
2-Year Target $110.47 (+20%)
3-Year Target $120.96 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 80→61) PE COMPRESSION $92.14 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 80.5, Growth: 16.8%) $146.77 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.8%) $36.60 (-60%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.8%) $31.11 (-66%)
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-07
Frederic Simon SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-02

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