FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$82.40
2.61 (3.27%) ▲
5d: +1.44%
30d: -13.09%
90d: +65.16%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 1d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FROG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.45
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.84
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $82.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.24 to $93.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 73.5) compared to its historical average (59.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $72.14, while resistance sits at $89.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.62 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $80.24 - $93.46
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.0%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.62)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.1% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $80.24 - $93.46
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.14
Resistance Level $89.16
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 73.55
Wall Street Target $92.62 (+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.8%
Profit Margin -10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.1% premium
PE vs Historical 73.6 vs 59.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.25 (+7%)
2-Year Target $94.52 (+15%)
3-Year Target $101.23 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 74→60) PE COMPRESSION $82.44 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 73.6, Growth: 17.5%) $133.52 (+62%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.5%) $37.63 (-54%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 17.5%) $31.99 (-61%)
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Last updated: August 04, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-07
Frederic Simon SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-02

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