JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares (FROG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$111.86
+2.35 (+2.15%)
▲
5d:
+49.91%
30d:
+21.64%
90d:
+16.31%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect FROG Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (18%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$88.81 – $104.25
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
82.4x
STRETCHED
vs 66.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$117.05
+6.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$73.98 / $113.23
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FROG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $100.92 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.27
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $111.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.81 to $104.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 82.4) compared to its historical average (66.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FROG scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $113.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FROG scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$88.81 -
$104.25
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$88.81 -
$104.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$73.98
Resistance Level
$113.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding FROG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($117.05)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
82.38
Wall Street Target
$117.05
(+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.9%
Profit Margin
-3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
82.4 vs 66.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.83
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$126.79
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$136.42
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 82→66)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 82.4, Growth: 15.1%)
$167.16
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$40.30
(-63%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$34.26
(-69%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FROG)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Insiders of $FROG have been selling, leading to bearish sentiment on StockTwits with one trader predicting a faster decline to the 80-85$ range.
Key Retail Themes:
Insider selling
Bearish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FROG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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