JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares (FROG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$95.50
-2.09 (-2.14%) ▼
5d: +7.09%
30d: +4.11%
90d: -2.65%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FROG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.75
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.03
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $95.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.25 to $96.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 83.4) compared to its historical average (64.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.03, while resistance sits at $100.00.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.00 (+17.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $88.25 - $96.43
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($112.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.2% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $88.25 - $96.43
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.03
Resistance Level $100.00
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 83.41
Wall Street Target $112.00 (+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.7%
Profit Margin -7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.2% premium
PE vs Historical 83.4 vs 64.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $104.29 (+9%)
2-Year Target $113.88 (+19%)
3-Year Target $124.36 (+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 83→64) PE COMPRESSION $95.42 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 83.4, Growth: 16.8%) $152.22 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 16.8%) $37.23 (-61%)
Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 16.8%) $31.65 (-67%)
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Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-07

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Advanced FROG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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