JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares (FROG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$87.18
-1.47 (-1.66%) ▼
5d: -3.79%
30d: +1.32%
90d: +11.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FROG Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $90.61 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FROG trades at premium valuation expecting 6.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.75
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.03
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $87.18, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.56 to $95.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 76.1) compared to its historical average (62.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $81.68, while resistance sits at $105.76.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $112.00 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $85.56 - $95.36
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($112.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.7% growth which is achievable
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $85.56 - $95.36
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $81.68
Resistance Level $105.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 76.14
Wall Street Target $112.00 (+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 28.7%
Profit Margin -7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.7% premium
PE vs Historical 76.1 vs 62.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $93.02 (+7%)
2-Year Target $99.25 (+14%)
3-Year Target $105.90 (+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 76→63) PE COMPRESSION $87.21 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 76.1, Growth: 16.8%) $138.96 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.8%) $36.81 (-58%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 16.8%) $31.29 (-64%)
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-07
Frederic Simon SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-02

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Advanced FROG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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