FROG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FROG - JFrog Ltd. Ordinary Shares

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$91.17
-0.85 (-0.92%) ▼
5d: -5.23%
30d: +16.17%
90d: +101.57%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your FROG Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 21d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FROG trades at premium valuation expecting 11.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.45
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.84
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FROG is currently trading at $91.17, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.32 to $92.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 81.4) compared to its historical average (58.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FROG is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $79.32 - $92.59
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.6% growth which is achievable
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $79.32 - $92.59
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $70.34
Resistance Level $89.16
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 81.38
Wall Street Target $86.71 (-4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.8%
Profit Margin -10.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.6% premium
PE vs Historical 81.4 vs 58.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $101.75 (+12%)
2-Year Target $113.55 (+25%)
3-Year Target $126.72 (+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 81→59) PE COMPRESSION $91.25 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 81.4, Growth: 17.5%) $147.73 (+62%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.5%) $39.54 (-57%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.5%) $33.61 (-63%)
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:02 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Yoav Landman SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-10
Ben Haim Shlomi SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-07
Frederic Simon SELL 25000 shares 2026-04-02

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Advanced FROG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FROG price and gamma walls.

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