FSBW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSBW - FS Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$42.26
-0.65 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
-2.81%
30d:
-3.78%
90d:
+3.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSBW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSBW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.17
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSBW is currently trading at $42.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.76 to $44.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSBW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSBW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $41.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.76 -
$44.02
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.76 -
$44.02
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.50
Resistance Level
$44.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.65
Wall Street Target
$45.00
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.1%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.77
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$43.28
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$43.80
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.51
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$142.23
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 12.0%)
$59.38
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 12.0%)
$50.47
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.37
Bull Case
$52.75
(+25%)
Analyst growth 11.7%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$47.95
(+14%)
Market implied 11.7%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$29.18
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSBW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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