FSBW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSBW - FS Bancorp, Inc. Common Stock
$42.34
0.54 (1.29%)
▲
5d:
+2.39%
30d:
+2.74%
90d:
+6.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Get Alerted When FSBW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FSBW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FSBW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.05
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSBW is currently trading at $42.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.07 to $42.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSBW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $41.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSBW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $41.85. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.07 -
$42.03
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($45.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.07 -
$42.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.00
Resistance Level
$41.85
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.25
Wall Street Target
$45.50
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.21
(0%)
2-Year Target
$42.09
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$41.96
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$42.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$164.80
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 13.8%)
$62.45
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$53.08
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.30
Bull Case
$54.86
(+30%)
Analyst growth 19.3%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$49.87
(+18%)
Market implied 19.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$28.42
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$42.58
(+0.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FSBW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$73 | 64 BUY |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services G… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$256 | 62 BUY |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$233 | 64 BUY |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$89 | 64 BUY |
|
BAP
Credicorp Ltd |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$386 | 62 BUY |
