GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$36.91
0.50 (1.37%)
▲
5d:
+2.73%
30d:
+10.18%
90d:
+17.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIII trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GIII trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.47
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $36.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.72 to $36.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GIII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $37.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GIII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.72 -
$36.08
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($39.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.2% growth expectation is conservative given 782% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.72 -
$36.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.07
Resistance Level
$37.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.43
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
782.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 10.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.03
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$41.84
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$44.85
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.45
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.0%)
$62.61
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$37.54
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.51
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.85
Bull Case
$41.48
(+14%)
Analyst growth 2.8%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$37.71
(+4%)
Market implied 2.8%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$24.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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