GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$14.04
-0.04 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
-2.97%
30d:
-1.2%
90d:
-2.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.65
43.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $14.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.91 to $14.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.37, while resistance sits at $14.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.37, while resistance sits at $14.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.91 -
$14.43
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.91 -
$14.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.37
Resistance Level
$14.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.43
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.64
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→22)
$14.86
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.2%)
$56.97
(+306%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 42.2%)
$40.36
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 42.2%)
$34.31
(+144%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$18.30
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$16.64
(+19%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$9.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.38
(+45.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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