GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$13.91
-0.21 (-1.49%)
▼
5d:
-2.86%
30d:
-4.6%
90d:
-0.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GNE trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.99
42.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $13.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.03 to $14.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (21.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.03 -
$14.50
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.03 -
$14.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.87
Resistance Level
$14.79
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.29
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 21.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.52
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.27
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.14
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→22)
$14.46
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 42.2%)
$54.23
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 42.2%)
$39.99
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 42.2%)
$33.99
(+144%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.78
Bull Case
$18.12
(+30%)
Analyst growth 16.7%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$16.47
(+18%)
Market implied 16.7%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$9.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 21.8
Stabilization Target:
$19.84
(+42.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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