GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD

ELECTRIC & OTHER SERVICES COMBINED
$14.23
0.23 (1.64%) ▲
5d: +2.3%
30d: +2.67%
90d: +0.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.42
44.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $14.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.68 to $14.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $13.68 - $14.12
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.68 - $14.12
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.37
Resistance Level $14.48
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.38
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -73.1%
Profit Margin 3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 23.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.60 (-10%)
2-Year Target $11.34 (-19%)
3-Year Target $10.21 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→23) $15.32 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.2%) $56.97 (+307%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 42.2%) $40.25 (+188%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 42.2%) $34.21 (+144%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case $18.17 (+30%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case $16.52 (+18%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case $9.51 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 23.1
Stabilization Target: $21.02 (+50.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +50.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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