GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$14.30
0.30 (2.16%)
▲
5d:
+2.82%
30d:
+3.19%
90d:
+0.51%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.42
43.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $14.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.68 to $14.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+14.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.68 -
$14.13
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.68 -
$14.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.37
Resistance Level
$14.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.38
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 23.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.21
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→23)
$15.32
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.2%)
$56.97
(+307%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 42.2%)
$40.25
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 42.2%)
$34.21
(+144%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$18.17
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$16.52
(+18%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$9.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 23.1
Stabilization Target:
$21.02
(+50.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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