GENIE ENERGY (GNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$15.78
0.09 (0.57%)
▲
5d:
+3.07%
30d:
+9.28%
90d:
+12.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.20
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $15.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.49 to $15.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.0) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 380.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.49 -
$15.43
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.49 -
$15.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.58
Resistance Level
$15.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.97
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
380.3%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.0 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.71
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$13.71
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$12.77
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$15.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -8.8%)
$14.22
(+-10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: -8.8%)
$11.96
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: -8.8%)
$10.17
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$14.33
(-9%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$13.03
(-17%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$10.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.0 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$19.53
(+23.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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