GENIE ENERGY (GNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$16.42
0.44 (2.75%)
▲
5d:
+3.99%
30d:
+8.17%
90d:
+12.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.96
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $16.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.23 to $16.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.7) compared to its historical average (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 380.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$15.23 -
$16.13
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.23 -
$16.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.72
Resistance Level
$16.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.66
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(-2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
380.3%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 20.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.57
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$14.76
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$13.99
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→21)
$16.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -8.8%)
$14.38
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: -8.8%)
$12.45
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: -8.8%)
$10.58
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.12
Bull Case
$14.60
(-11%)
Analyst growth -17.0%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$13.27
(-19%)
Market implied -17.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$10.87
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 20.7
Stabilization Target:
$19.25
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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