GENIE ENERGY (GNE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.14
-0.11 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
+14.61%
30d:
+13.46%
90d:
+32.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.19 – $17.61
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.6x
FAIR
vs 20.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.50
+1.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.00 / $19.61
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GNE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.71
Based on -2.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $19.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.19 to $17.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $19.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.19 -
$17.61
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.19 -
$17.61
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$16.00
Resistance Level
$19.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($19.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.58
Wall Street Target
$19.50
(+1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.5%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 20.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.20
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.26
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$19.31
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -8.8%)
$14.51
(+-24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.8%)
$14.00
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -8.8%)
$11.90
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case
$15.88
(-17%)
Analyst growth -25.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$14.44
(-25%)
Market implied -25.0%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$13.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GNE)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 1, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Genie Energy Ltd. Class B Common Stock ($GNE) faces significant risks due to the OBBB law's implementation, which rolls back clean energy tax credits and imposes foreign-owned business restrictions.
Key Retail Themes:
regulatory risks
clean energy tax credits
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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