GSBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBC - Great Southern Bancorp Inc
$75.41
-0.45 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
+10.78%
90d:
+22.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GSBC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.76
Based on -33.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBC is currently trading at $75.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.84 to $73.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $67.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.84 -
$73.80
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.0% above Wall St target ($67.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.84 -
$73.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.34
Resistance Level
$75.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.41
Wall Street Target
$67.50
(-11.0%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
31.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.89
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$82.05
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$85.33
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -70.2%)
$121.36
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: -70.2%)
$74.27
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: -70.2%)
$63.13
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.30
Bull Case
$74.32
(-2%)
Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$67.56
(-11%)
Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$51.18
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 12:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John M Bugh
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-20
Thomas J Carlson
SELL
680 shares
2026-02-03
Thomas J Carlson
SELL
2000 shares
2026-01-28
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