GSBC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBC - Great Southern Bancorp Inc
$77.55
-0.09 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
+2.87%
90d:
+14.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GSBC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.13
Based on -32.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBC is currently trading at $77.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.41 to $78.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$74.41 -
$78.36
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($71.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.41 -
$78.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.34
Resistance Level
$75.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.59
Wall Street Target
$71.00
(-8.4%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
31.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$83.56
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$86.73
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -69.6%)
$121.68
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: -69.6%)
$75.94
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: -69.6%)
$64.55
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.30
Bull Case
$77.34
(0%)
Analyst growth -9.4%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$70.31
(-9%)
Market implied -9.4%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$52.80
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John M Bugh
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-20
Thomas J Carlson
SELL
680 shares
2026-02-03
Thomas J Carlson
SELL
2000 shares
2026-01-28
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