Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBC - Great Southern Bancorp Inc
$79.27
1.16 (1.49%)
▲
5d:
+0.46%
30d:
-0.28%
90d:
+1.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GSBC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.25
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBC is currently trading at $79.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.09 to $79.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GSBC scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$78.09 -
$79.77
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.09 -
$79.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$76.24
Resistance Level
$80.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.03
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(-4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.9%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.04
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$84.92
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$87.89
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -4.2%)
$101.22
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: -4.2%)
$69.61
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$59.17
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.08
Bull Case
$79.84
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$72.59
(-8%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$53.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 10:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John M Bugh
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-20
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