Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GSBC - Great Southern Bancorp Inc
$80.16
0.24 (0.30%)
▲
5d:
+0.35%
30d:
-0.42%
90d:
+6.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GSBC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GSBC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.69
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GSBC is currently trading at $80.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.65 to $80.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$78.65 -
$80.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($76.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$78.65 -
$80.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.33
Resistance Level
$80.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.19
Wall Street Target
$76.00
(-5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.9%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.45
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$86.87
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$90.43
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$80.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$100.08
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$70.40
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$59.84
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.08
Bull Case
$81.69
(+2%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$74.27
(-7%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$54.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GSBC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John M Bugh
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-20
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