Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GSBC - Great Southern Bancorp Inc

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$81.24
2.31 (2.93%) ▲
5d: +4.09%
30d: +3.06%
90d: +2.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GSBC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.25
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.24
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GSBC is currently trading at $81.24, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.40 to $79.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.0) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GSBC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $79.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $77.40 - $79.53
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($76.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $77.40 - $79.53
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $75.58
Resistance Level $79.54
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.97
Wall Street Target $76.50 (-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -16.9%
Profit Margin 29.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 12.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $81.38 (+3%)
2-Year Target $83.90 (+6%)
3-Year Target $86.50 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $78.64 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%) $98.54 (+25%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: -4.2%) $69.32 (-12%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: -4.2%) $58.92 (-25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.95
Bull Case $81.56 (+3%)
Analyst growth -5.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case $74.14 (-6%)
Market implied -5.0%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case $53.09 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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