HE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HE - Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.
$13.58
0.07 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+1.69%
30d:
+3.08%
90d:
-11.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.25
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.06
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HE is currently trading at $13.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.18 to $13.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$13.18 -
$13.57
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($12.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.18 -
$13.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.06
Resistance Level
$13.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.97
Wall Street Target
$12.75
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.99
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$12.49
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$12.02
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$13.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$38.31
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 16.0%)
$21.05
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 16.0%)
$17.90
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$22.75
(+69%)
Analyst growth 52.4%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$20.69
(+53%)
Market implied 52.4%, PE stable at 18.3
Bear Case
$9.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$15.12
(+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced HE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HE price and gamma walls.
