HE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HE - Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.
$13.23
0.34 (2.68%)
▲
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
-3.4%
90d:
-8.16%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.39
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.14
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HE is currently trading at $13.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.16 to $13.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (13.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.16 -
$13.60
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.16 -
$13.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.06
Resistance Level
$13.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.45
Wall Street Target
$13.75
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.17
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$11.50
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$10.87
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$12.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$37.95
(+195%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$19.95
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$16.96
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$21.77
(+69%)
Analyst growth 52.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$19.79
(+54%)
Market implied 52.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$8.85
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 13.6
Stabilization Target:
$15.30
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HE price and gamma walls.
