Hawaiian Electric Industries (HE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HE - Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.
$8.72
-0.11 (-1.25%)
▼
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
-9.45%
90d:
-35.55%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 15, 2026 at $8.49 · last confirmed Oct 16, 2026
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.7% annual earnings decline despite 373% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.7% annual earnings decline despite 373% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.32
43.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HE is currently trading at $8.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.54 to $9.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 373.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HE scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HE scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$8.54 -
$9.67
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.62)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.54 -
$9.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.20
Resistance Level
$8.98
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.53
Wall Street Target
$8.63
(-1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
373.3%
Profit Margin
6.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.06
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.36
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$9.24
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.0%)
$43.51
(+399%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 29.0%)
$18.70
(+114%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 29.0%)
$15.89
(+82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.30
Bull Case
$7.63
(-13%)
Analyst growth -21.4%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$6.94
(-20%)
Market implied -21.4%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$6.00
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$12.67
(+45.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HE price and gamma walls.
