HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$15.09
-0.73 (-4.61%)
▼
5d:
-8.32%
30d:
+7.4%
90d:
-22.46%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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1 traders called HL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.12
44.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $15.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.81 to $16.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 951.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $17.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.19 (+59.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $17.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.19 (+59.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.81 -
$16.23
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 59.3% below Wall St target ($25.19)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.81 -
$16.23
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.81
Resistance Level
$17.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.19
Wall Street Target
$25.19
(+59.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
100.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
951.5%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.24
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$16.35
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.0%)
$71.71
(+353%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 40.0%)
$43.43
(+175%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 40.0%)
$36.91
(+133%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.72
Bull Case
$28.93
(+83%)
Analyst growth 66.6%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$26.30
(+66%)
Market implied 66.6%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$10.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.2 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$22.43
(+41.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 3:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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