HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$20.72
-0.10 (-0.48%)
▼
5d:
+12.79%
30d:
+35.25%
90d:
+19.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $20.42 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: HL is 12.9% above its trading range ($18.35). Market expects 2.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: HL is 12.9% above its trading range ($18.35). Market expects 2.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.16
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $20.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.39 to $18.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.67, while resistance sits at $21.45.
Market Sentiment: HL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.53 (+13.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.67, while resistance sits at $21.45.
Market Sentiment: HL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.53 (+13.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.39 -
$18.35
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
17.6%
Protect Your Profits
HL is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.39 -
$18.35
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.67
Resistance Level
$21.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.48
Wall Street Target
$23.53
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.9%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 18.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.28
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$21.85
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$22.44
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 29.5%)
$46.38
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 29.5%)
$45.01
(+117%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 29.5%)
$38.26
(+85%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$29.01
(+40%)
Analyst growth 26.7%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case
$26.37
(+27%)
Market implied 26.7%, PE stable at 24.8
Bear Case
$14.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HL price and gamma walls.
