HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$15.98
0.02 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
+4.51%
30d:
-6.98%
90d:
-7.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.67
42.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $15.98, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.34 to $17.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 951.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $17.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.53 (+59.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.80, while resistance sits at $17.93.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.53 (+59.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.34 -
$17.79
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.7% below Wall St target ($25.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.34 -
$17.79
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.81
Resistance Level
$17.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.41
Wall Street Target
$25.53
(+59.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
100.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
951.5%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.65
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$16.68
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.1%)
$69.93
(+338%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 39.1%)
$43.05
(+169%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 39.1%)
$36.59
(+129%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.69
Bull Case
$30.33
(+90%)
Analyst growth 72.7%, PE expands to 25.4
Base Case
$27.57
(+73%)
Market implied 72.7%, PE stable at 23.1
Bear Case
$10.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.88
(+43.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+43.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kurt Allen
SELL
52219 shares
2026-01-06
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