HL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$14.12
-0.81 (-5.43%)
▼
5d:
-6.74%
30d:
-9.43%
90d:
-21.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.18
46.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $14.12, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.62 to $15.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 951.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: HL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.53 (+66.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: HL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.53 (+66.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.62 -
$15.82
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 66.6% below Wall St target ($23.53)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.62 -
$15.82
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.79
Resistance Level
$16.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$23.53
(+66.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
100.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
951.5%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.71
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.44
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.29
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$15.78
(+12%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 41.3%)
$69.64
(+393%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 41.3%)
$39.88
(+182%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 41.3%)
$33.90
(+140%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$26.76
(+90%)
Analyst growth 63.0%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$24.33
(+72%)
Market implied 63.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$10.15
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$21.65
(+53.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+53.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HL price and gamma walls.
