Hecla Mining (HL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HL - Hecla Mining Company
$15.14
0.12 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+1.61%
30d:
-20.44%
90d:
-1.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.51
26.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HL is currently trading at $15.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.82 to $18.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.64, while resistance sits at $17.38.
Market Sentiment: HL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.77 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.64, while resistance sits at $17.38.
Market Sentiment: HL scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.77 (+43.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.82 -
$18.38
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.8% below Wall St target ($21.77)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.82 -
$18.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.64
Resistance Level
$17.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.97
Wall Street Target
$21.78
(+43.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.9%
Profit Margin
19.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 17.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.58
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$14.04
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$13.52
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$15.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.8%)
$44.07
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 32.8%)
$35.44
(+134%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 32.8%)
$30.13
(+99%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$20.34
(+34%)
Analyst growth 23.1%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$18.49
(+22%)
Market implied 23.1%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$10.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 17.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.97
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HL price and gamma walls.
