McEwen (MUX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MUX - McEwen Inc.
$17.74
0.08 (0.45%)
▲
5d:
-6.73%
30d:
-11.83%
90d:
-5.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MUX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MUX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$51.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.80
44.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MUX is currently trading at $17.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.47 to $20.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 156.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.20 (+75.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.20 (+75.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.47 -
$20.61
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.9% below Wall St target ($31.20)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.47 -
$20.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.52
Resistance Level
$20.27
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.45
Wall Street Target
$31.20
(+75.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
156.0%
Profit Margin
32.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 6.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→7)
$19.17
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 163.9%)
$274.37
(+1447%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 163.9%)
$59.87
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 163.9%)
$50.89
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case
$38.85
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$35.32
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$12.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$26.30
(+48.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MUX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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