McEwen (MUX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$12.71
-0.84 (-6.20%)
▼
5d:
-14.87%
30d:
-24.7%
90d:
-31.59%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
41/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$14.26 – $17.03
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.0x
CHEAP
vs 6.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.40
+131.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.56 / $16.43
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MUX is down 14.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.53
48.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MUX is currently trading at $12.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.26 to $17.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.0) compared to its historical average (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 156.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MUX scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.40 (+131.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: MUX scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.40 (+131.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.26 -
$17.03
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.26 -
$17.03
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$12.56
Resistance Level
$16.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 131.3% below Wall St target ($29.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.01
Wall Street Target
$29.40
(+131.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
156.0%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.0 vs 6.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.44
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.27
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$14.79
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 120.1%)
$212.48
(+1572%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.0, Growth: 120.1%)
$42.90
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.4, Growth: 120.1%)
$36.46
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$29.81
(+135%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$27.10
(+113%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$9.21
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.0 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$20.29
(+59.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.6%
Share MUX Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MUX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Aug 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
McEwen MUX saw a bullish StockTwits message and an article discussing the potential undervaluation of the stock following a production guidance update and strong long-term returns.
Key Retail Themes:
Company production guidance update
Long-term returns and investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MUX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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