McEwen (MUX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MUX - McEwen Inc.
$19.53
-0.02 (-0.10%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.92%
30d:
+1.98%
90d:
+5.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MUX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MUX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -11.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.46
41.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MUX is currently trading at $19.53, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.76 to $20.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 156.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MUX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+58.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MUX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MUX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.00 (+58.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.76 -
$20.70
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 58.7% below Wall St target ($31.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.76 -
$20.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.05
Resistance Level
$21.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.80
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+58.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
156.0%
Profit Margin
32.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 6.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.58
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$14.24
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â7)
$20.18
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 166.0%)
$277.06
(+1319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 166.0%)
$65.91
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 166.0%)
$56.03
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case
$43.01
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$39.10
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$13.29
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$27.68
(+41.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MUX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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