IDCC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IDCC - InterDigital, Inc.
$261.52
-3.36 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
-7.55%
30d:
+3.0%
90d:
-25.76%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IDCC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IDCC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$460.02
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$285.64
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IDCC is currently trading at $261.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $263.72 to $287.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.3) compared to its historical average (29.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IDCC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $257.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.67 (+76.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IDCC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $257.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.67 (+76.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$263.72 -
$287.41
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 76.9% below Wall St target ($462.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$263.72 -
$287.41
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$257.14
Resistance Level
$291.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.26
Wall Street Target
$462.67
(+76.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.0%
Profit Margin
44.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 29.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$242.95
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$225.70
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$209.68
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→29)
$261.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$418.07
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.9%)
$391.44
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.9%)
$332.72
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.49
Bull Case
$312.27
(+19%)
Analyst growth 7.2%, PE expands to 27.8
Base Case
$283.88
(+9%)
Market implied 7.2%, PE stable at 25.3
Bear Case
$180.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.3 to 29.0
Stabilization Target:
$326.03
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IDCC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajesh Pankaj
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-06
Joshua D Schmidt
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-17
Rajesh Pankaj
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-05
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