INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INTU - Intuit Inc
$290.81
15.85 (5.76%)
▲
5d:
+6.86%
30d:
+2.32%
90d:
-17.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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8 traders called INTU this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INTU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$728.31
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$452.22
35.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $290.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $259.31 to $302.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $291.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $484.73 (+76.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $291.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $484.73 (+76.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$259.31 -
$302.58
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 76.3% below Wall St target ($484.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$259.31 -
$302.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$291.18
Resistance Level
$363.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.06
Wall Street Target
$484.73
(+76.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
21.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 17.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$247.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$222.72
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$200.45
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→17)
$340.60
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$896.84
(+226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$414.38
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 14.7%)
$352.22
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.38
Bull Case
$501.62
(+82%)
Analyst growth 66.8%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$456.02
(+66%)
Market implied 66.8%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$185.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 17.1
Stabilization Target:
$467.22
(+69.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-12
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-10
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