INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INTU - Intuit Inc
$316.07
0.57 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+6.66%
30d:
+18.34%
90d:
-18.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
17d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: INTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$711.65
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$441.88
28.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $316.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $263.82 to $302.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $278.94, while resistance sits at $336.94.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $456.47 (+44.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $278.94, while resistance sits at $336.94.
Market Sentiment: INTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $456.47 (+44.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$263.82 -
$302.38
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.4% below Wall St target ($456.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$263.82 -
$302.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$278.94
Resistance Level
$336.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.56
Wall Street Target
$456.47
(+44.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
21.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$284.46
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$256.02
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$230.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$332.81
(+5%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.7%)
$855.38
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 14.7%)
$477.07
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 14.7%)
$405.51
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.52
Bull Case
$611.30
(+93%)
Analyst growth 76.1%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$555.73
(+76%)
Market implied 76.1%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$214.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$456.53
(+44.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+44.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-12
Richard L Dalzell
SELL
333 shares
2026-03-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's INTU price and gamma walls.
