MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$100.15
-0.71 (-0.70%)
▼
5d:
+14.5%
30d:
+17.89%
90d:
+39.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MNDY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MNDY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$211.42
Based on 13.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.28
23.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $100.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.09 to $92.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $103.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$81.09 -
$92.65
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNDY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($108.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$81.09 -
$92.65
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.97
Resistance Level
$103.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.95
Wall Street Target
$108.14
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.9%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.44
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$90.96
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$86.68
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$100.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.9%)
$241.19
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 21.9%)
$181.53
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 21.9%)
$154.30
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$221.89
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.8
Base Case
$201.72
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.6
Bear Case
$68.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$115.91
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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