MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$82.47
-1.18 (-1.41%)
▼
5d:
+3.38%
30d:
-0.91%
90d:
+32.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
27d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNDY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MNDY trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.84
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.28
26.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $82.47, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.15 to $83.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.00, while resistance sits at $97.30.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.12 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.00, while resistance sits at $97.30.
Market Sentiment: MNDY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.12 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$72.15 -
$83.35
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($108.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.15 -
$83.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.28
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.00
Resistance Level
$97.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.29
Wall Street Target
$108.13
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 18.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$77.11
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$72.10
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$67.41
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$82.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.1%)
$208.82
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 21.1%)
$146.61
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 21.1%)
$124.62
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$184.03
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$167.30
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$56.88
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$100.85
(+22.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MNDY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.
