MNDY monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares Services-Prepackaged Software Best Software Stocks 2026 →

MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$76.38
-3.55 (-4.44%) β–Ό
5d: -18.39% 30d: -9.89% 90d: -11.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$83.79 – $99.92
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.4x CHEAP
vs 17.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$102.23
+33.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$74.56 / $99.81
Trend: Uptrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MNDY is down 18.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $89.84 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$211.48
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.31
41.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $76.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.79 to $99.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (17.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.23 (+33.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $83.79 - $99.92
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $83.79 - $99.92
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $74.56
Resistance Level $99.81
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($102.23)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.42
Wall Street Target $102.23 (+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 163.9%
Profit Margin 8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 17.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.74 (-10%)
2-Year Target $61.87 (-19%)
3-Year Target $55.68 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10β†’17) $91.35 (+20%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.3%) $241.14 (+216%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 18.3%) $126.56 (+66%)
Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 18.3%) $107.58 (+41%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.91
Bull Case $175.85 (+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case $159.86 (+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case $54.35 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 17.1
Stabilization Target: $125.31 (+64.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +64.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MNDY)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Monday.com (MNDY) is set to report Q3 earnings tomorrow with revenue growth expected to slow down from last quarter. The company has a history of exceeding analysts' expectations.
Key Retail Themes: Earnings Preview Revenue Growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive MNDY Research Pages
MNDY Technical Chart MNDY Price Prediction MNDY Intrinsic Value DCF MNDY Earnings Date Why is MNDY Moving Today? MNDY Investment Advisor MNDY Fair Price Analyzer MNDY Options Chain MNDY Options Advisor MNDY Options Analysis MNDY Competitors
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