MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares
$80.31
1.85 (2.36%)
▲
5d:
-6.62%
30d:
-16.79%
90d:
+0.68%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNDY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MNDY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.56
Based on 12.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.23
39.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $80.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.76 to $96.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (17.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.16, while resistance sits at $90.76.
Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.87 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $73.16, while resistance sits at $90.76.
Market Sentiment: MNDY scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.87 (+35.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.76 -
$96.48
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MNDY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.6% below Wall St target ($108.87)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 27% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.6%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.76 -
$96.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.16
Resistance Level
$90.76
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.99
Wall Street Target
$108.87
(+35.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.9%
Profit Margin
8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 17.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$72.28
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$65.05
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$58.55
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$85.94
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 21.8%)
$247.18
(+208%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 21.8%)
$145.28
(+81%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 21.8%)
$123.49
(+54%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case
$172.61
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$156.92
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$53.35
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 17.6
Stabilization Target:
$117.89
(+46.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNDY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.
