INVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INVH - Invitation Homes Inc. Common Stock

REAL ESTATE OPERATORS (NO DEVELOPERS) & LESSORS
$30.29
-0.01 (-0.03%) â–ŧ
5d: -0.26%
30d: -0.43%
90d: +6.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: INVH is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.87
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INVH is currently trading at $30.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.66 to $30.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 44.7) compared to its historical average (39.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: INVH scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.39 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $29.66 - $30.32
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.39)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $29.66 - $30.32
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.48
Resistance Level $30.89
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 44.66
Wall Street Target $33.39 (+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 60.5%
Profit Margin 23.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.4% premium
PE vs Historical 44.7 vs 39.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.62 (+4%)
2-Year Target $33.01 (+9%)
3-Year Target $34.47 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 45→39) PE COMPRESSION $30.25 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 44.7, Growth: 10.2%) $40.48 (+34%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.2%) $18.34 (-40%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.2%) $15.59 (-49%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.11
Bull Case $20.36 (-33%)
Analyst growth -38.9%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case $18.51 (-39%)
Market implied -38.9%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case $20.60 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 16, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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