IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$39.48
-0.82 (-2.03%)
▼
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
+3.49%
90d:
+27.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.07
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $39.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.29 to $39.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: IX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.29 -
$39.74
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 28.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.29 -
$39.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.73
Resistance Level
$39.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.54
Wall Street Target
$38.87
(-1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.7%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.34
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$43.28
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$45.31
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$66.76
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$44.55
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 4.1%)
$37.87
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.47
Bull Case
$48.75
(+24%)
Analyst growth 10.0%, PE expands to 18.0
Base Case
$44.31
(+12%)
Market implied 10.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$27.40
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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