IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$39.52
1.11 (2.89%)
▲
5d:
+1.59%
30d:
+7.83%
90d:
+29.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.07
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $39.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.98 to $39.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$36.98 -
$39.48
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($38.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with 28.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.98 -
$39.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.73
Resistance Level
$39.84
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.14
Wall Street Target
$38.87
(+1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.7%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.18
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$42.02
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$43.96
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.54
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$66.76
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 4.1%)
$43.35
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 4.1%)
$36.85
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.49
Bull Case
$46.40
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$42.18
(+10%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$26.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 16, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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