IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$36.72
-0.29 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+0.58%
30d:
-6.09%
90d:
-8.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: IX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.72
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $36.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.64 to $39.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IX scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.09 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $36.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IX scores 79/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.09 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$36.64 -
$39.18
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (79/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($41.09)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 79/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.64 -
$39.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.18
Resistance Level
$37.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.52
Wall Street Target
$41.09
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.6%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$37.24
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$37.50
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$36.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$60.87
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$41.44
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$35.22
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.60
Bull Case
$30.71
(-16%)
Analyst growth -24.6%, PE expands to 11.3
Base Case
$27.92
(-24%)
Market implied -24.6%, PE stable at 10.3
Bear Case
$25.17
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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