IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IX - ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
$40.11
1.02 (2.61%)
▲
5d:
-2.62%
30d:
-1.16%
90d:
+3.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: IX is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.39
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $40.11, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.69 to $40.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $41.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$38.69 -
$40.55
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($41.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.69 -
$40.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.82
Resistance Level
$41.28
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.77
Wall Street Target
$41.38
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.6%
Profit Margin
17.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$43.47
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$45.25
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 4.1%)
$61.82
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 4.1%)
$45.27
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 4.1%)
$38.48
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case
$31.91
(-20%)
Analyst growth -25.8%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case
$29.01
(-28%)
Market implied -25.8%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case
$26.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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