IX
ORIX Corporation American Depositary Shares (each representing One (1) Share of Common Stock)
Miscellaneous Business Credit Institution
IX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$33.54
+0.84 (+2.57%)
▲
5d:
-9.45%
30d:
-8.96%
90d:
-17.04%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$35.23 – $37.47
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.4x
FAIR
vs 13.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$37.76
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.53 / $37.39
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When IX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.72
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IX is currently trading at $33.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.23 to $37.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.3) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 263.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.53, while resistance sits at $37.39.
Market Sentiment: IX scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.76 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.53, while resistance sits at $37.39.
Market Sentiment: IX scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.76 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$35.23 -
$37.47
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$35.23 -
$37.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$32.53
Resistance Level
$37.39
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($37.76)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.35
Wall Street Target
$37.76
(+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
263.3%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.77
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$32.01
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$31.28
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$33.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$60.87
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$37.85
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$32.17
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.47
Bull Case
$17.99
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$16.35
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$22.24
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$35.85
(+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.9%
Share IX Analysis
Share this live IX analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (IX)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jul 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on IX are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is IX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Financial Conglomerates Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Financial Conglomerates by analyst ratings.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive IX Research Pages
