TREE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TREE - LendingTree, Inc.
$31.86
0.14 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
-18.31%
30d:
-28.88%
90d:
-35.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TREE is down 18.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TREE is down 18.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.59
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.73
45.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TREE is currently trading at $31.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.61 to $45.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (7.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1746.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TREE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $29.77, while resistance sits at $46.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.17 (+85.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TREE is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $29.77, while resistance sits at $46.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $59.17 (+85.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$38.61 -
$45.96
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TREE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 85.7% below Wall St target ($59.17)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.61 -
$45.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.77
Resistance Level
$46.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.82
Wall Street Target
$59.17
(+85.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1746.8%
Profit Margin
15.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 7.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$23.23
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→8)
$36.62
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.4%)
$257.35
(+708%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 23.4%)
$59.84
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 23.4%)
$50.86
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.38
Bull Case
$22.22
(-30%)
Analyst growth -36.3%, PE expands to 3.4
Base Case
$20.20
(-37%)
Market implied -36.3%, PE stable at 3.1
Bear Case
$21.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 7.6
Stabilization Target:
$50.24
(+57.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TREE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TREE price and gamma walls.
