KEY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEY - KeyCorp
$21.87
0.02 (0.09%)
▲
5d:
-6.18%
30d:
-3.74%
90d:
+1.77%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $22.73 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 8.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KEY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KEY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.29
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.53
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEY is currently trading at $21.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.38 to $23.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.02 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.02 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.38 -
$23.32
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.02)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.38 -
$23.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.69
Resistance Level
$23.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.24
Wall Street Target
$26.02
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.3%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.78
(0%)
2-Year Target
$21.70
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$21.61
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$21.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.8%)
$68.42
(+213%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 16.8%)
$34.89
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 16.8%)
$29.66
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.69
Bull Case
$30.39
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.4%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$27.63
(+26%)
Market implied 26.4%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$14.86
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$22.22
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-12
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Advanced KEY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEY price and gamma walls.
