LAUR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LAUR - Laureate Education, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES
$38.31
-0.10 (-0.26%) ▼
5d: +3.54%
30d: +2.6%
90d: +27.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LAUR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.23
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.02
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LAUR is currently trading at $38.31, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.28 to $39.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LAUR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.05, while resistance sits at $40.92.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $36.28 - $39.18
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.64)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $36.28 - $39.18
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.05
Resistance Level $40.93
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.72
Wall Street Target $40.64 (+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 88.4%
Profit Margin 16.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 14.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $39.31 (+3%)
2-Year Target $40.33 (+5%)
3-Year Target $41.38 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $38.17 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 19.5%) $86.21 (+125%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 19.5%) $65.36 (+71%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 19.5%) $55.56 (+45%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case $55.08 (+44%)
Analyst growth 30.4%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case $50.07 (+31%)
Market implied 30.4%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case $26.12 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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