LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$42.38
0.43 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
-4.44%
30d:
+2.57%
90d:
-12.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.68
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $42.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.97 to $43.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $39.61, while resistance sits at $45.62.
Market Sentiment: LAZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.12 (+11.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $39.61, while resistance sits at $45.62.
Market Sentiment: LAZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.12 (+11.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$40.97 -
$43.50
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 0.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.97 -
$43.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$39.61
Resistance Level
$45.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.02
Wall Street Target
$47.13
(+11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.2%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.55
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$42.72
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$42.89
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$42.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 72.7%)
$269.05
(+535%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 72.7%)
$143.03
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 72.7%)
$121.58
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$84.90
(+100%)
Analyst growth 84.0%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$77.19
(+82%)
Market implied 84.0%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$28.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
3944 shares
2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
7885 shares
2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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