LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$41.41
-0.29 (-0.70%)
▼
5d:
-0.31%
30d:
-12.45%
90d:
-9.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LAZ appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.0% annual earnings decline despite 62% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LAZ appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.0% annual earnings decline despite 62% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.52
26.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $41.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.85 to $46.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.88 (+22.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.88 (+22.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$40.85 -
$46.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($50.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.85 -
$46.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.68
Resistance Level
$50.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$50.88
(+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.75
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$38.16
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$36.64
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$41.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 57.0%)
$315.21
(+661%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 57.0%)
$139.76
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 57.0%)
$118.79
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$78.06
(+89%)
Analyst growth 70.2%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$70.96
(+71%)
Market implied 70.2%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$28.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$46.74
(+12.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
3944 shares
2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
7885 shares
2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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