FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$121.75
-0.26 (-0.21%)
▼
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
+16.48%
90d:
+31.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FUTU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: FUTU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.17
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.61
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $121.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.93 to $120.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.3) is in line with its historical norms (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.10, while resistance sits at $128.43.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.97 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $115.10, while resistance sits at $128.43.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.97 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$103.93 -
$120.09
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($160.97)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$103.93 -
$120.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$115.10
Resistance Level
$128.43
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.26
Wall Street Target
$160.97
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Profit Margin
46.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 1.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.07
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$116.45
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$113.89
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$117.78
(-3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.8%)
$3805.42
(+3026%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 24.8%)
$236.46
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 24.8%)
$200.99
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.36
Bull Case
$268.42
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$244.02
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$82.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 1.3
Stabilization Target:
$125.91
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 6:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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