FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$98.21
3.11 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
+1.93%
30d:
+1.62%
90d:
-41.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FUTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$261.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$162.27
39.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $98.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.43 to $98.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $91.86, while resistance sits at $102.57. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.74 (+63.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $91.86, while resistance sits at $102.57. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.74 (+63.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.43 -
$98.86
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 63.8% below Wall St target ($155.74)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.43 -
$98.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.86
Resistance Level
$102.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
0.99
Wall Street Target
$155.74
(+63.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.7%
Profit Margin
45.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.59
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$77.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$69.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$97.83
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 34.7%)
$4927.49
(+5081%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 34.7%)
$232.68
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.8, Growth: 34.7%)
$197.78
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.87
Bull Case
$214.54
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$195.04
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$66.31
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.4
Stabilization Target:
$134.20
(+41.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 20, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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