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Futu (FUTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$98.00
+2.52 (+2.64%) ▲
5d: +0.08% 30d: -14.08% 90d: -6.31%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
66/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$99.27 – $109.97
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.0x CHEAP
vs 1.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$160.90
+64.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$87.41 / $107.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 43% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$246.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.22
36.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $98.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.27 to $109.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $87.41, while resistance sits at $107.07.

Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.90 (+64.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $99.27 - $109.97
Company Quality Score 66/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $99.27 - $109.97
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $87.41
Resistance Level $107.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 64.2% below Wall St target ($160.90)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 74/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.01
Wall Street Target $160.90 (+64.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 43.0%
Profit Margin 46.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 1.0 vs 1.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $90.26 (-8%)
2-Year Target $83.13 (-15%)
3-Year Target $76.56 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→1) $98.99 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.6%) $3832.02 (+3810%)
Base: (SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 25.6%) $194.00 (+98%)
Bear: (PE: 0.9, Growth: 25.6%) $164.90 (+68%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.08
Bull Case $210.06 (+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case $190.96 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case $64.93 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.3
Stabilization Target: $126.71 (+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +29.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (FUTU)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Aug 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on FUTU are bullish (sentiment score +0.44) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive FUTU Research Pages
FUTU Technical Chart FUTU Price Prediction FUTU Intrinsic Value DCF FUTU Earnings Date Why is FUTU Moving Today? FUTU Investment Advisor FUTU Fair Price Analyzer FUTU Competitors
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