Futu (FUTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$98.92
-6.11 (-5.82%)
▼
5d:
-9.91%
30d:
-10.06%
90d:
-0.44%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FUTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.06
36.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $98.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.93 to $113.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.0) compared to its historical average (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.89 (+62.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.89 (+62.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$105.93 -
$113.24
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.6% below Wall St target ($160.89)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$105.93 -
$113.24
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.18
Resistance Level
$115.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.00
Wall Street Target
$160.89
(+62.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Profit Margin
46.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.0 vs 1.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.31
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$82.46
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$75.28
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$97.59
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.1%)
$4019.30
(+3963%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 27.1%)
$202.95
(+105%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.9, Growth: 27.1%)
$172.51
(+74%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.08
Bull Case
$231.07
(+134%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$210.06
(+112%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$71.42
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.3
Stabilization Target:
$128.24
(+29.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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