Futu (FUTU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$112.73
-0.78 (-0.69%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.61%
30d:
+7.2%
90d:
+18.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FUTU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FUTU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.17
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$151.61
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $112.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.03 to $121.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.2) compared to its historical average (1.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 43.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.95 (+42.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $112.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FUTU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.95 (+42.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$107.03 -
$121.68
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.8% below Wall St target ($160.95)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.03 -
$121.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.29
Resistance Level
$126.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.16
Wall Street Target
$160.95
(+42.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.0%
Profit Margin
46.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.2 vs 1.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.32
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$102.17
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$97.26
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1â1)
$108.64
(-4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 24.8%)
$3794.13
(+3266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.2, Growth: 24.8%)
$218.94
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.0, Growth: 24.8%)
$186.10
(+65%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.75
Bull Case
$249.72
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$227.02
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$77.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.2 to 1.3
Stabilization Target:
$125.91
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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