Lazard (LAZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$36.07
-0.37 (-1.02%)
▼
5d:
-1.77%
30d:
-16.02%
90d:
-16.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.98
27.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $36.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.67 to $43.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LAZ scores 97/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.62 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LAZ scores 97/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.62 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$36.67 -
$43.50
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (97/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($46.62)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 33% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.67 -
$43.50
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.28
Resistance Level
$37.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.42
Wall Street Target
$46.63
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.2%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.41
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$32.83
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$31.32
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$35.89
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 72.6%)
$263.50
(+631%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 72.6%)
$121.74
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 72.6%)
$103.48
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.04
Bull Case
$75.20
(+109%)
Analyst growth 87.6%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$68.36
(+90%)
Market implied 87.6%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$24.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$41.33
(+14.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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