Lazard (LAZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$41.90
+0.85 (+2.07%)
▲
5d:
+3.05%
30d:
+14.73%
90d:
-7.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (22%)
Quality Score
26/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$35.90 – $39.42
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.0x
STRETCHED
vs 10.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.00
+2.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.88 / $42.84
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LAZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.96
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $41.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.90 to $39.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LAZ scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $42.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LAZ scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.90 -
$39.42
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$35.90 -
$39.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$37.88
Resistance Level
$42.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.3% growth with 9.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.04
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+2.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.54
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$47.35
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$50.33
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.68
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 156.0%)
$215.35
(+414%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 156.0%)
$141.41
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 156.0%)
$117.11
(+180%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$84.84
(+103%)
Analyst growth 87.9%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$77.13
(+84%)
Market implied 87.9%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$27.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LAZ)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Morgan Stanley topped the power sector M&A market in 2025, advising on deals worth $63.4bn and 16 transactions.
Key Retail Themes:
Morgan Stanley's dominance in the power sector M&A market
Lazard's position as a top tier financial advisor
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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