Lazard (LAZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$41.10
-0.77 (-1.84%)
▼
5d:
-7.29%
30d:
-5.6%
90d:
-4.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LAZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LAZ shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.72
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $41.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.88 to $44.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.38 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.38 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$42.88 -
$44.46
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.88 -
$44.46
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.88
Resistance Level
$46.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.68
Wall Street Target
$47.38
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.2%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$40.45
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$40.12
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$40.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 72.6%)
$261.95
(+537%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 72.6%)
$138.71
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 72.6%)
$117.91
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$89.06
(+117%)
Analyst growth 93.4%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$80.96
(+97%)
Market implied 93.4%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$28.47
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$41.94
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
3944 shares
2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
7885 shares
2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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