LAZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$41.10
-0.31 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
-5.04%
30d:
-0.63%
90d:
-11.95%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LAZ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.62
27.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $41.10, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.68 to $45.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.62 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.62 (+20.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$40.68 -
$45.08
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($49.62)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$40.68 -
$45.08
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.68
Resistance Level
$50.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.57
Wall Street Target
$49.63
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.5%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.33
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$37.64
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$36.02
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$41.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 63.1%)
$315.77
(+668%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 63.1%)
$138.71
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 63.1%)
$117.91
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.52
Bull Case
$77.65
(+89%)
Analyst growth 70.5%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$70.59
(+72%)
Market implied 70.5%, PE stable at 16.4
Bear Case
$28.16
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$46.82
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
3944 shares
2026-03-19
Christopher Hogbin
SELL
7885 shares
2026-03-18
Peter Richard Orszag
SELL
69170 shares
2026-03-17
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