Lazard (LAZ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LAZ - Lazard, Inc.
$37.30
-0.07 (-0.19%)
âŧ
5d:
+3.15%
30d:
+1.3%
90d:
-15.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LAZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LAZ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.66
20.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LAZ is currently trading at $37.30, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.51 to $37.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LAZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.88 (+14.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$35.51 -
$37.41
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.51 -
$37.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.13
Resistance Level
$38.02
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.44
Wall Street Target
$42.88
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.2%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$36.93
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$36.56
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$36.19
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â11)
$37.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 74.0%)
$239.48
(+542%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 74.0%)
$125.89
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 74.0%)
$107.00
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$70.61
(+89%)
Analyst growth 71.8%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$64.19
(+72%)
Market implied 71.8%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$25.41
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.59
(+3.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LAZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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