SCHW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHW - The Charles Schwab Corporation
$92.03
0.33 (0.36%)
▲
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+2.13%
90d:
-2.78%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 17, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCHW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCHW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$175.68
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.09
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHW is currently trading at $92.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.43 to $91.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCHW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.16 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCHW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.16 (+26.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$87.43 -
$91.91
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.2% below Wall St target ($116.16)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.43 -
$91.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.96
Resistance Level
$89.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.68
Wall Street Target
$116.16
(+26.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
38.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.98
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$84.11
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$80.41
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$91.95
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$258.68
(+181%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 17.8%)
$150.60
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 17.8%)
$128.01
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$145.55
(+58%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 20.1
Base Case
$132.32
(+44%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$62.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$105.24
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul V Woolway
SELL
7941 shares
2026-04-15
Paul V Woolway
SELL
7942 shares
2026-04-14
Nigel J Murtagh
SELL
41297 shares
2026-04-14
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