SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES Best Securities Brokers Stocks 2026 →

The Charles Schwab (SCHW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$92.78
-0.25 (-0.27%) ▼
5d: -0.63% 30d: -3.29% 90d: -15.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
64/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$89.61 – $95.62
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x CHEAP
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$116.86
+26.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$87.37 / $95.28
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: SCHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $92.58 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.48
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.76
23.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SCHW is currently trading at $92.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.61 to $95.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.28. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.86 (+26.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $89.61 - $95.62
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $89.61 - $95.62
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $87.37
Resistance Level $95.28
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.0% below Wall St target ($116.86)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.89
Wall Street Target $116.86 (+26.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.6%
Profit Margin 39.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.9 vs 13.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $88.14 (-5%)
2-Year Target $83.73 (-10%)
3-Year Target $79.55 (-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→14) $92.99 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.1%) $274.94 (+196%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 21.1%) $164.60 (+77%)
Bear: (PE: 10.1, Growth: 21.1%) $139.91 (+51%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.85
Bull Case $136.50 (+47%)
Analyst growth 33.4%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case $124.09 (+34%)
Market implied 33.4%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case $63.26 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 13.9
Stabilization Target: $108.46 (+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (SCHW)

Bearish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Schwab and Fidelity do not allow transferring 401k Required Minimum Distributions (RMD) directly to charity for tax-exempt Qualified Charitable Distributions (QCD), requiring rollover into an IRA first.
Key Retail Themes: IRA rollovers Tax-free charitable donations
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive SCHW Research Pages
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