Is SCHW stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, SCHW is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: SCHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of SCHW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SCHW to be between $93.35 and $103.14. The current price is $91.44.

What is the analyst price target for SCHW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SCHW is $117.59. This implies a potential upside of 28.6% from current levels.

The Charles Schwab (SCHW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SCHW - The Charles Schwab Corporation

SECURITY BROKERS, DEALERS & FLOTATION COMPANIES

$91.44

-0.20 (-0.22%) ▼

5d: -2.89%

30d: -8.1%

90d: -10.33%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your SCHW Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 15, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 14, 2026 at $96.80 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

SCHW is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; SCHW has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 21.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$196.45

Based on 12.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$121.98

25.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SCHW is currently trading at $91.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.35 to $103.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.59 (+28.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $93.35 - $103.14

Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($117.59)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (54/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $93.35 - $103.14

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $89.33

Resistance Level $97.82

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.71

Wall Street Target $117.59 (+28.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.6%

Profit Margin 39.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.7 vs 14.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $86.14 (-6%)

2-Year Target $81.14 (-11%)

3-Year Target $76.43 (-16%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→14) $91.39 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.2%) $276.37 (+202%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 21.2%) $162.94 (+78%)

Bear: (PE: 10.0, Growth: 21.2%) $138.50 (+52%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 15.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.85

Bull Case $134.57 (+47%)

Analyst growth 33.5%, PE expands to 17.2

Base Case $122.33 (+34%)

Market implied 33.5%, PE stable at 15.7

Bear Case $62.32 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 14.0

Stabilization Target: $109.33 (+19.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +19.6%

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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